Cristiano Ronaldo dramatically increases the chance of Manchester United silverware, analysts calculate
Cristiano Ronaldo will have a dramatic impact on Manchester United’s chances of winning a Premier League title this season, according to leading football analysts, who have crunched the numbers of his sensational return.
The Ballon d’Or winner’s five-time reunion with United will not only increase their chances of a league title from seven percent to 12%, but also significantly increase their chances of a Champions League victory.
The game’s statisticians routinely collect data on players to predict their likely impact on new teams — and clubs use the information to inform their hiring decisions.
Analysts predict Cristiano Ronaldo will significantly increase Manchester United’s chances of winning a Premier League title or Champions League this season after joining Juve
The Twenty First Group, which advises leading players across Europe on all aspects of their strategic development, has been eyeing the figures of Ronaldo’s reunion with United after signing from Juventus for £19.8 million, with additions .
And the analysts have good news for Red Devils fans. They have concluded that the Portuguese will have a significant impact at the Theater of Dreams, bringing the prospect of serious silverware much closer.
“Our models estimate that Ronaldo’s arrival at Manchester United will increase their chances of winning the league by five percentage points, from 7 percent to 12 percent,” said Omar Chaudhuri, chief intelligence officer at the Twenty First Group.
“His arrival has also increased their Champions League chances, from 5 percent to 8 percent”
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“While these may seem small increases, they are relatively large – the odds of United picking up at least one of these two major trophies have risen from 12 percent to 19 percent, or a chance of about 1 in 8 to about 1 in 5 opportunity
“Our models assess the quality of players in a squad and simulate what can happen if one player is replaced by another. These models help clubs assess risk and value in the transfer market
United last claimed the league title in 2013, and the Champions League has eluded them since 2008.
But the Ronaldo takeover has put United on par with Liverpool, and only slightly behind Chelsea, according to the Twenty First Group.
Frustrating for the red half of Manchester, Man City are still considered the team to beat in both the Premier League and Champions League, even though they lost the signature to Ronaldo.
Ronaldo has scored 84 Premier League goals in 196 appearances for Manchester United
Twenty First Group’s analysis is based on comparisons between thousands of European players. The analysts look at every aspect of a player’s contribution to their team and how they impact the outcome of matches.
Combining massive amounts of data, scientists can model a player’s likely impact if they were to move teams.
The Twenty First Group models suggest Lionel Messi is a better, more impactful player than Ronaldo, but the Argentine is expected to have less impact in Paris than the Portuguese in Manchester.
Messi has joined a club with an all-star cast, while Ronaldo is pairing up with younger players who have yet to prove themselves.
The analysts’ conclusions are in line with United legend Gary Neville’s assessment.
“It greatly strengthens Manchester United,” Neville told Sky Sports News.
The big question that every Manchester United fan, probably every fan in the Premier League, will be: is it enough for them to fight for the title and win the title?
‘I don’t feel like it is. I still feel there are a few teams that are better. I think the Premier League is the strongest since the mid-2000s.
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Neville points out that United, also bolstered by the summer signings of centre-back Raphael Varane and winger Jadon Sancho, have yet to taste success and ‘learn’ how to win.
Ronaldo’s goals will also be a factor. In his first spell at Old Trafford, he scored 84 goals in 196 appearances. And while his game may have changed as he gets older, the striker still knows where the target is. He scored 101 goals in just over three seasons for Juventus prior to his last move.
“(United has) a lot of talented young players but they haven’t won yet, this team hasn’t won, they don’t know how to win and they have to learn that and he knows how to win – and hopefully he can for Manchester Bring United to the locker room,” Neville said.
The players are enjoying the prospect of joining Ronaldo after the international break, in which the Portuguese international raised expectations even higher, scoring twice in the closing minutes yesterday to secure a 2-1 win over the Republic of Ireland and the all-time winner. about to break. -time international scoring record – with 111 international goals.
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The Reds’ centre-back Harry Maguire is already super excited, calling Ronaldo the ‘best player to play the game’.
“It’s great to have him at the club and I’m sure he will have a huge impact on and off the pitch, and a lot of players can watch and learn and improve, and then of course it will improve our team too. ” with his goalscoring record,” said Maguire.
And the fans are still ready to believe that CR7 can make a difference.
“At 36, Ronaldo’s best years are behind him, although he will still have a sixth Ballon d’Or on his mind before retiring, but with 36 goals in all competitions last season, there is clearly still life in the old dog.” United fan and writer Scott Paterson, of the Republic of Mancunia website, told Sports post this week.
Manchester United fans eagerly await Ronaldo’s return after international break
He was the top scorer in Serie A, scoring five goals in less playing time than Romelu Lukaku, who cost £98m, and his mentality will make him do everything he can to shine again in the Premier League.
After bringing so much excitement and glory at the start of his career at Old Trafford, he now gets to play a leading role, as well as inspiring and motivating the players around him.
And Paterson added: ‘Viva Ronaldo! He’s back! And United’s supporters hope that with him he can bring about a return of those glory days.”